We did something a little different this time out. The material analyzed is from Race 4 2012 Interview with John Bolton. The top of this post is just John Bolton’s statements analyzed. We then used the NextStage Compatibility Gauge to determine if John Bolton was a “favored son” of the interviewer, A.J. Nolte. NextStage’s Compatibility Gauge analyzes two different source materials (blogs, Twitter streams, FaceBook pages, emails, DOCs, URLs, …) and determines how compatible the sources are (think “Brands and fans”, “Brand persona and Consumer Persona”, “management and employee”, “political running mates”, “friends v lovers”, …). Currently NextStage’s Compatibility Gauge is only available to NextStage Members
Part 1 – What John Bolton Wants You to Believe
Part 2 – What the SpeechWriter Thinks
What is John Bolton Really Communicating? – Every politician wants the public to believe they are the best for the job and can get things done.
However, no individual can achieve anything in elected office unless they believe certain things about themselves because without those core, personal and identifying beliefs they will not have the intellectual power, the charisma, the social awareness and sensitivity, the negotiation skills or the creativity necessary for success in public office.
In this case, John Bolton:
- Has an idea of where their town/city/county/state/country needs to be but doesn’t know if they’re instrumental in making that vision a reality.
- Has a sense of destiny for both themselves and the town/city/county/state/country and believes they are the only individual who can make it happen.
- Is communicating very well to both male and female audiences.
- Is targeting a reasonable demographic.
- But not strongly enough to stand out/win/be recognized as leading the pack.
Regarding the real author of this material:
- They don’t think this candidate has a real chance of winning anything.
- They really worked this to remove any BS before publishing.
The original analysis can be found at Race 4 2012 A.J. Nolte Interview with John Bolton Analyzed.
Values Generated Are:
- Political Messaging
- I Am Leadership Material – 62.22
- I Am Electable – 74.34
- I Have a Vision – 23.93
- I Have a Vision for This Country – 73.44
- I Am Listening – 59.97
- I Am Listening to You – 53.82
- I Can Lead Us to a Better Place – 100
- I Can Get Us Out of This Problem/Mess/Situation – 95.96
- I Am a Man/Woman of The People – 54.39
- Speechwriter’s Confidence in Candidate’s Success – -81.15
- Speechwriter’s Determination of How Much BlueSky was in Candidate’s Speech – 2.59
- Gender Persuasion
- Male – 52.03%
- Female – 47.97%
- Age Persuasion
- ? – 24yo – 9.13%
- 25 – 34yo – 17.72%
- 35 – 44yo – 34.4%
- 45 – 54yo – 66.79%
- 55 – 59yo – 34.4%
- 60 – 64yo – 17.72%
- 65 – 74yo – 9.13%
- 75yo + – 4.7%
Before offering the Compatibility Analysis I want to draw attention to a few of John Bolton’s metrics specifically because this was an interview and supposedly not a prepared speech.
- The “I’m Listening” and “I’m Listening to You” values. All other candidates analyzed so far shows “I’m Listening to You” having a higher value than “I’m Listening”, essentially a non-conscious statement that the candidate values the input of others, the difference in the heights indicating how much they value the input of others. Here we see that John Bolton, at least during this interview, doesn’t pay much attention to the input of others. This is reminiscent of General Clark during the 2004 Primary season (see Reading Virtual Minds V1: Science and History, Chapter 4.7 “Politics Aren’t HorseRaces Anymore”).
- John Bolton definitely knows how to target an audience (the age and gender persuasion spreads are really good for an unprepared speech)
- He also knows how to self-monitor his words as he speaks them (the BS value is extremely low for an unprepared speech)
Again, if this truly was an “on-the-spot” interview and not prepared, my hat’s off to him.
A.J. Nolte and John Bolton Compatibility
The actual value demonstrated in the above chart is 58.36 out of a possible 100%.
Compatibility Gauge – This gauge indicates how compatible two things are — in this case, 58.36% — based on what you analyzed. Accuracy increases the more samples you test, so if you don’t like these results, send through a few more things. If the results stay low, maybe you should rethink your involvement. On the other hand, if the results improve, particularly if they improve over time, perhaps this is a match.
A.J. Nolte’s RichPersona is V1, John Bolton’s RichPersona is V13.
- Cognitive Factors
- These two sources will understand each other on major discussion points
- These two sources will probably distrust each other
- It is possible although not likely that some kind of dominance game might manifest on John Bolton’s part
- These two sources will definitely have some initial confusions
- Things will smooth out so long as each party does the same amount of talking
- Emotive Factors
- Stay back, there’s probably love in the air
- There will be some difficulties in planning and they’ll get over it
- Behavioral Factors
- Dominance games will break out at some point in time, probably instigated by John Bolton
- It’s quite likely A.J. Nolte will consider John Bolton assertive to the point of being aggressive
- There will be class of wills or agendas at some point and probably early in the discussion/negotiation
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